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2024-12-14 00:10:42

There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.The most important thing is that the trend here is different from that on October 8, with 3 stocks falling down and 38 stocks falling by more than 5%. This data also does not support the main shipment. More is an active retracement adjustment after the big opening, at least before the upward trend of the market has not changed, don't worry too much.There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.


As for the mysterious fund, it has contributed a lot to the rise in the last 10 days, but it is basically in the tray, and several pulse changes only lasted for half an hour, so it is even more impossible to chase up the sedan chair when it opened nearly 90 points higher yesterday.The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.Steady friends can wait, and when consumption and robots retreat, see who can stand out and continue to lead the way. Aggressive friends can fast-forward and fast-forward the test, and the risk here is not great, that is, the difficulty of stock selection is hell.


Generally speaking, I have been trying to adjust positions around the direction of new quality productivity recently. After this wave of short-term stepping back, there is a high probability that a new and old cycle will be switched. I won't chase after the high price, so I'd better do my own business quietly!Therefore, after the short-term shock consolidation, when it breaks through 3500 points again, it should have the foundation for acceleration. I would like to remind you that there is no basis for a sharp drop here. No matter the meeting expectation or the tone of maintaining stability, it is impossible for it to continue to get out of control and cause financial risks here.The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.

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